Engaging Perspectives

The $10 Billion Question: Why Most Banks Are Sitting on a Data Gold Mine They Can't Spend

Written by James White | 12/23/25 2:00 PM

Key Takeaways from This Blog:

  • Customer “loyalty” is really inertia, and it’s fragile. In 2025, staying put doesn’t mean customers are committed, it means they haven’t been given a compelling, personalized reason to engage yet.
  • Data actionability is now a survival requirement, not a differentiator. Institutions that still treat analytics as reports or pilots are falling behind fintechs that turn data into real-time, personalized actions embedded in every interaction.
  • Personalization only works if it’s paired with trust. Consumers want AI-driven relevance but will only opt in when institutions prove, through transparency, consent, and explainable decisions, that their data is used responsibly and in their best interest.

Sixty-six percent of US consumers say they're unlikely to switch their primary financial institution in 2025. That sounds like loyalty. It isn't.

It's inertia dressed up as satisfaction. And the difference between the two is about to become a $5-10 billion problem for institutions that mistake one for the other.

Here's the reality: loyalty in 2025 doesn't mean staying put. It means staying engaged. And engagement runs on one fuel above all others: data-driven personalization that actually understands who I am, what I need, and when I need it. Not next quarter. Not after the next system upgrade. Now.

The institutions that figure this out will turn data actionability into the competitive moat that separates them from everyone else still treating analytics like a back-office function instead of a growth engine.

The Decade We Lost Talking Instead of Doing

The financial services industry has been discussing personalization since at least 2015. Conference keynotes. Strategy decks. Vendor promises. Everyone agreed it was the future.

Then everyone went back to their offices and did nothing.

Or worse, they did something halfway. They bought the analytics platform but never integrated it across systems. They hired the data science team but siloed them from product development. They piloted the personalization engine but never moved it to production because "we need to see more proof of concept."

Meanwhile, fintechs that didn't exist a decade ago built their entire business models around the personalization legacy institutions had scheduled for next year's roadmap.

The window for competitive advantage through personalization closed sometime around 2022. What we're looking at now isn't opportunity. It's survival. The choice isn't whether to invest in data actionability. It's whether you want to control your own destiny or watch someone else control it for you.

Consumer expectations crossed a threshold. The same people banking with you are getting restaurant recommendations from AI, having Netflix predict their viewing habits with eerie accuracy, and watching TikTok serve them content so personalized it feels like mind-reading. They know what's possible. They know you have their data. And they're done waiting for you to do something useful with it.

The talking phase is over. The choice phase is over. We're in the execution phase now, and the penalty for sitting this one out is existential.

What Data Actionability Actually Means

Most institutions are still confusing data collection with data utility.

Data actionability is the conversion of customer information (transactions, behaviors, preferences, life-stage signals) into real-time, personalized actions. Not reports. Not dashboards for executives to review on Tuesdays. Actions. The fraud alert that stops a transaction before it processes. The perfectly timed HELOC offer when someone's home value crosses a threshold. The investment nudge delivered exactly when market conditions and personal circumstances align.

This isn't new technology. AI-driven analytics have been available for years. What's new is that the consequences of inaction finally caught up.

The 2025 banking technology survey data tells the story. Institutions with $10 billion-plus in assets are already deploying data analytics effectively for fraud detection and targeted marketing. Ninety-three percent use AI for fraud prevention. Seventy percent of the institutions trust AI for behind-the-scenes tasks like security.

Smaller institutions? They see the potential. They understand the imperative. But they're stuck in the gap between knowing what they should do and having the infrastructure to do it.

Here's what that means: data actionability isn't a technology problem anymore. It's a cultural problem. It's the difference between institutions that view customer data as a compliance burden and institutions that view it as the foundation of every meaningful interaction they'll have in 2026 and beyond.

The Generational Divergence No One's Actually Addressing

The conversation about generational banking preferences has become wallpaper. Everyone knows Gen Z wants mobile-first experiences, and Boomers prefer branches. What most institutions haven't internalized is that these aren't service channel preferences. They have fundamentally different expectations about what a financial relationship should deliver.

Gen Z doesn't just want crypto integration and AI-driven advice. They want institutions that understand their gig-economy income patterns, their skepticism toward traditional credit scoring, and their expectation that every interaction should be as personalized as their Netflix recommendations. They switch banks two to three times more often when services don't meet digital expectations. Not because they're disloyal. Because they have options.

Millennials, now entering peak earning and borrowing years, want hybrid experiences that blend digital convenience with human expertise when stakes are high. Sixty percent of new accounts include crypto considerations. They're making the wealth-building decisions that will define their relationship with financial services for the next thirty years. Right now.

Gen X is managing the most complex financial lives of any cohort (aging parents, college-age children, retirement planning, peak career earnings), and they need institutions that can see around corners for them. Data nudges for investment rebalancing. Proactive alerts about education savings deadlines. Predictive modeling for retirement gaps.

Boomers are sitting on trillions in assets about to transfer to younger generations, and they need wealth transfer planning that goes beyond "here's a trust officer's phone number." Here is a chart for added clarity.

The institutions winning in 2025 aren't treating these as demographic segments. They're treating them as different data models requiring different activation strategies. Alternative credit data for gig workers. Predictive life-stage analytics for Millennials approaching first-time home purchases. Community-focused behavioral nudges for Gen X.

This is where the $5-10 billion opportunity for credit unions becomes tangible. Closing the technology gap isn't about matching big banks feature-for-feature. It's about using data analytics to deliver the personalization that creates primacy. Because 84% of consumers say they'd switch institutions for relevant, AI-driven insights. Not for a rate. For relevance.

The Trust Paradox

Every opportunity I've described runs directly into the same wall: consumer fear about data sharing. And that fear isn't irrational. It's informed by a decade of breaches, scandals, and the creeping realization that data shared with one party often ends up with dozens of others.

The CFPB's open banking rule drew 14,000 comments, and the divide was stark. Consumer advocates pushed for stronger privacy protections. Banks warned about fraud risks from mandated data sharing. Both were right.

Fraudulent activity rose 21% in 2025. At the same time, new regulations taking effect in March 2026 will limit credit report sharing, reflecting broader concerns about unauthorized data access. The regulatory environment is tightening precisely when the business case for data utilization is becoming impossible to ignore.

This is the paradox: consumers want personalization, but they don't trust institutions with the data required to deliver it. They want AI-driven fraud protection, but they're worried about AI-enabled fraud. They want seamless experiences across platforms, but they're terrified about who sees their financial information.

Ignore this tension, and it doesn't matter how sophisticated your data models are. You'll build the most advanced personalization engine in banking and watch adoption crater because nobody trusts you enough to opt in.

Trust isn't a checkbox. It's not a privacy policy customers scroll past. Trust is the foundation of every data-driven strategy, and it's built through demonstrated behavior, not disclosed policies.

What Actually Works

The institutions navigating this successfully aren't treating privacy as a compliance exercise. They're making it a competitive advantage.

Start with consent-based data use. Not the buried-in-fine-print version. The explicit, understandable, granular version where customers control exactly what data gets used for what purpose. Make opting in feel like gaining control, not surrendering it.

Implement AI ethics guidelines that aren't just for lawyers. Everyone touching customer data needs to understand not just what's legal, but what builds trust. When AI makes a decision that affects a customer, they should understand why. No black boxes. No, "the algorithm decided."

Build hybrid models that blend digital efficiency with human expertise. Data can tell you when a customer needs help. It can't replace the conversation that builds confidence in complex decisions. The banks prioritizing both fraud prevention technology and customer experience investments are reporting better outcomes.

For credit unions specifically, the playbook is clearer than most realize. Start with 30-day AI sprints focused on specific use cases. Member insights that drive personalized offers. Fraud patterns that trigger proactive outreach. Deposit growth strategies informed by behavioral analytics. These aren't moonshot projects. They're achievable, measurable wins that build organizational capability while demonstrating member value.

The 2026 Banking Landscape Is Being Built Right Now

Look ahead twelve months, and the divide between data-mature institutions and everyone else becomes unbridgeable.

AI agentic systems (tools that don't just analyze data but act on it autonomously within defined parameters) will move from pilot to production. Real-time personalization won't be a differentiator. It'll be table stakes. Fraud prevention will rely on AI identifying patterns human analysts never could.

The institutions reaching digital maturity in 2025 will see accelerated deposit and loan growth in 2026, even amid economic uncertainty. Not because they got lucky. Because they used data to become proactive financial wellness partners instead of reactive product providers.

By 2030, generational milestones will create massive demand for tailored services. Gen Z will be buying homes, starting businesses, and building wealth. Millennials will be navigating peak earning years and complex financial lives. Gen X will be planning retirement transitions. Boomers will be executing wealth transfers.

The institutions prepared to meet these needs won't be the ones with the most data. They'll be the ones who turned data into trusted relationships.

The Three Questions

Here's where this gets practical. Every bank and credit union should answer three questions right now:

What customer data are we collecting that we're not using? Most institutions are sitting on behavioral signals, transaction patterns, and life-stage indicators that never get activated. That's not a data strategy. That's data hoarding.

What personalization are we delivering that customers can't get anywhere else? If your answer is "competitive rates," you don't have a personalization strategy. You have a pricing problem.

What would our members say if we asked them directly whether they trust us with their data? Not what you hope they'd say. What they'd actually say. The gap between those two answers is where your strategy either succeeds or dies.

The institutions that move first on data actionability won't just capture the $5-10 billion opportunity. They'll define what banking relationships look like for the next decade.

The institutions that wait will spend that decade explaining to boards why growth went somewhere else.

In the data-driven era, banks and credit unions that prioritize trust won't just retain customers. They'll earn something far more valuable: the permission to be genuinely helpful. And in 2026, permission is the only competitive advantage that matters.